The role of selected pre-match covariates on the outcome of One-day International (ODI) cricket matches
Journal article
Authors | Kayla McEwan, Lee Pote, Scott Nicholls, Sarah Radloff and Candice Christie |
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Abstract | Background: The identification of key factors that systematically influence a team’s success is important and has led to the application of statistical models in sport. Predicting the outcome of a One Day International (ODI) cricket match, using only pre-match covariates, has been minimally investigated. Objectives: This research sought to investigate the impact that venue, toss outcome, toss decision, and match type have on the chances of winning an ODI match. Results: The results varied across all teams, suggesting that there are individualised factors driving these differences and that generalising the impact pre-match covariates have in every team is unrealistic. New Zealand and India displayed a significant home advantage effect, whereas Australia had a strong tendency towards a significant disadvantage when they won the toss. However, for most teams, toss outcome, toss decision, and match type did not significantly impact the outcome of an ODI match. Conclusion: New Zealand and Australia were the most predictable teams, whereas South Africa and Pakistan were regarded as unpredictable when pre-match covariates were used to forecast the outcome of their ODI matches. |
Keywords | cricket; match type; toss decision; toss outcome; venue |
Year | 2023 |
Journal | South African Journal of Sports Medicine |
Journal citation | 35 (1), pp. 1-6 |
Publisher | South African Sports Medicine Association |
ISSN | 2078-516X |
Digital Object Identifier (DOI) | https://doi.org/10.17159/2078-516x/2023/v35i1a15012 |
Web address (URL) | https://doi.org/10.17159/2078-516X/2023/v35i1a15012 |
Accepted author manuscript | File Access Level Open |
Output status | Published |
Publication dates | 05 Jun 2023 |
Publication process dates | |
Deposited | 20 Apr 2023 |
https://repository.derby.ac.uk/item/9y292/the-role-of-selected-pre-match-covariates-on-the-outcome-of-one-day-international-odi-cricket-matches
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