The role of selected pre-match covariates on the outcome of One-day International (ODI) cricket matches
|Authors||Kayla McEwan, Lee Pote, Scott Nicholls, Sarah Radloff and Candice Christie|
Background: The identification of key factors that systematically influence a team’s success is important and has led to the application of statistical models in sport. Predicting the outcome of a One Day International (ODI) cricket match, using only pre-match covariates, has been minimally investigated.
Objectives: This research sought to investigate the impact that venue, toss outcome, toss decision, and match type have on the chances of winning an ODI match.
Results: The results varied across all teams, suggesting that there are individualised factors driving these differences and that generalising the impact pre-match covariates have in every team is unrealistic. New Zealand and India displayed a significant home advantage effect, whereas Australia had a strong tendency towards a significant disadvantage when they won the toss. However, for most teams, toss outcome, toss decision, and match type did not significantly impact the outcome of an ODI match.
Conclusion: New Zealand and Australia were the most predictable teams, whereas South Africa and Pakistan were regarded as unpredictable when pre-match covariates were used to forecast the outcome of their ODI matches.
|Keywords||cricket; match type; toss decision; toss outcome; venue|
|Journal||South African Journal of Sports Medicine|
|Journal citation||35 (1), pp. 1-6|
|Publisher||South African Sports Medicine Association|
|Digital Object Identifier (DOI)||https://doi.org/10.17159/2078-516x/2023/v35i1a15012|
|Web address (URL)||https://doi.org/10.17159/2078-516X/2023/v35i1a15012|
|Accepted author manuscript|
McEwan, Pote, Radloff, Nicholls and Christie. (2023). The role of selected pre-match covariates on the outcome of One-Day International (ODI) cricket matches. SAJSM - Accepted Version.pdf
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|Publication dates||05 Jun 2023|
|Publication process dates|
|Deposited||20 Apr 2023|
Accepted author manuscript
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