The role of selected pre-match covariates on the outcome of One-day International (ODI) cricket matches
|Kayla McEwan, Lee Pote, Scott Nicholls, Sarah Radloff and Candice Christie
Background: The identification of key factors that systematically influence a team’s success is important and has led to the application of statistical models in sport. Predicting the outcome of a One Day International (ODI) cricket match, using only pre-match covariates, has been minimally investigated.
Objectives: This research sought to investigate the impact that venue, toss outcome, toss decision, and match type have on the chances of winning an ODI match.
Results: The results varied across all teams, suggesting that there are individualised factors driving these differences and that generalising the impact pre-match covariates have in every team is unrealistic. New Zealand and India displayed a significant home advantage effect, whereas Australia had a strong tendency towards a significant disadvantage when they won the toss. However, for most teams, toss outcome, toss decision, and match type did not significantly impact the outcome of an ODI match.
Conclusion: New Zealand and Australia were the most predictable teams, whereas South Africa and Pakistan were regarded as unpredictable when pre-match covariates were used to forecast the outcome of their ODI matches.
|cricket; match type; toss decision; toss outcome; venue
|South African Journal of Sports Medicine
|35 (1), pp. 1-6
|South African Sports Medicine Association
|Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
|Web address (URL)
|Accepted author manuscript
McEwan, Pote, Radloff, Nicholls and Christie. (2023). The role of selected pre-match covariates on the outcome of One-Day International (ODI) cricket matches. SAJSM - Accepted Version.pdf
File Access Level
|05 Jun 2023
|Publication process dates
|20 Apr 2023
Accepted author manuscript
0views this month
0downloads this month