Police overestimation of criminal career homogeneity

Journal article


Pease, Ken and Roach, Jason 2013. Police overestimation of criminal career homogeneity. Journal of Investigative Psychology and Offender Profiling. https://doi.org/10.1002/jip.1405
AuthorsPease, Ken and Roach, Jason
Abstract

Police presumptions about criminal career trajectories have been little studied. The exploratory study reported here involved 42 police staff of varying rank and experience. Participants were asked to complete a questionnaire that asked them to predict the type of offence that an individual with a specified prior record would most probably commit next. Participating police personnel substantially overstated the homogeneity of criminal careers, that is, the nature of prior offences determined their prediction of their next offence more than available official data would deem reasonable. An incidental finding was that officers who rated the probability of further offending highest were also those who thought criminal careers most specialised. The implications for operational police decision-making were discussed and held to be profound.

Keywordscriminal careers; offence homogeneity
Year2013
JournalJournal of Investigative Psychology and Offender Profiling
PublisherWiley
ISSN15444759
15444767
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1002/jip.1405
Web address (URL)http://hdl.handle.net/10545/623685
hdl:10545/623685
Publication dates07 Oct 2013
Publication process dates
Deposited24 Apr 2019, 12:36
Accepted11 Sep 2013
ContributorsUniversity of Derby
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Open
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