Police overestimation of criminal career homogeneity

Journal article


Pease, Ken and Roach, Jason 2013. Police overestimation of criminal career homogeneity. Journal of Investigative Psychology and Offender Profiling. https://doi.org/10.1002/jip.1405
AuthorsPease, Ken and Roach, Jason
Abstract

Police presumptions about criminal career trajectories have been little studied. The exploratory study reported here involved 42 police staff of varying rank and experience. Participants were asked to complete a questionnaire that asked them to predict the type of offence that an individual with a specified prior record would most probably commit next. Participating police personnel substantially overstated the homogeneity of criminal careers, that is, the nature of prior offences determined their prediction of their next offence more than available official data would deem reasonable. An incidental finding was that officers who rated the probability of further offending highest were also those who thought criminal careers most specialised. The implications for operational police decision-making were discussed and held to be profound.

Keywordscriminal careers; offence homogeneity
Year2013
JournalJournal of Investigative Psychology and Offender Profiling
PublisherWiley
ISSN15444759
15444767
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)https://doi.org/10.1002/jip.1405
Web address (URL)http://hdl.handle.net/10545/623685
hdl:10545/623685
Publication dates07 Oct 2013
Publication process dates
Deposited24 Apr 2019, 12:36
Accepted11 Sep 2013
ContributorsUniversity of Derby
File
File Access Level
Open
Permalink -

https://repository.derby.ac.uk/item/93y55/police-overestimation-of-criminal-career-homogeneity

Download files

  • 42
    total views
  • 0
    total downloads
  • 0
    views this month
  • 0
    downloads this month

Export as

Related outputs

Wise Policing: Soft Skills and Strong Principles
Moss, K. and Pease, K. 2022. Wise Policing: Soft Skills and Strong Principles . in: Kilgallon, M. and Wright, M. (ed.) Behavioural Skills for Policing: The Service Speaks St Albans Critical Publishing.
Built environment attributes and crime: an automated machine learning approach
Dakin, Kyle, Parkinson, Simon, Saad, Kahn, Monchuck, Leanne and Pease, Ken 2020. Built environment attributes and crime: an automated machine learning approach. Crime Science. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-020-00122-9
Police misconduct, protraction and the mental health of accused police officers
McDaniel, John L.M., Moss, Kate, Pease, Ken and Singh, Paramjit 2020. Police misconduct, protraction and the mental health of accused police officers. in: Routledge.
First-generation immigrant judgements of offence seriousness: evidence from the crime survey for England and Wales
Los, Greg, Ignatans, Dainis and Pease, Ken 2017. First-generation immigrant judgements of offence seriousness: evidence from the crime survey for England and Wales. Crime Prevention and Community Safety. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41300-017-0019-2
Evolutionary Psychology and Terrorism
Taylor, Max, Roach, Jason and Pease, Ken 2016. Evolutionary Psychology and Terrorism. Routledge.
Terrorism's footprint of fear
Roach, Jason, Pease, Ken and Charlotte, Sanson 2016. Terrorism's footprint of fear. in: Routledge.
Taking crime seriously: Playing the weighting game
Ignatans, Dainis and Pease, Ken 2015. Taking crime seriously: Playing the weighting game. Policing. https://doi.org/10.1093/police/pav029.
Area and individual differences in personal crime victimisation incidence: The role of individual, lifestyle/routine activities and contextual predictors
Pease, Ken and Andromachi, Tseloni 2014. Area and individual differences in personal crime victimisation incidence: The role of individual, lifestyle/routine activities and contextual predictors. International Review of Victimology. https://doi.org/10.1177/0269758014547991
Voles don't take taxis
Pease, Ken 2014. Voles don't take taxis. Legal and Criminological Psychology. https://doi.org/10.1111/lcrp.12056
Are victims of crime mostly angry or mostly afraid?
Ignatans, Dainis and Pease, Ken 2019. Are victims of crime mostly angry or mostly afraid? Crime Prevention and Community Safety.
Whatever happened to repeat victimisation?
Pease, Ken, Ignatans, Dainis and Batty, Lauren 2018. Whatever happened to repeat victimisation? Crime Prevention and Community Safety.
Is it just a guessing game? The application of crime prevention through environmental design (CPTED) to predict burglary.
Monchuk, Leanne, Pease, Ken and Armitage, Rachel 2018. Is it just a guessing game? The application of crime prevention through environmental design (CPTED) to predict burglary. Planning Practice & Research. https://doi.org/10.1080/02697459.2018.1510276
Crime concentrations: Hot dots, hot spots and hot flushes.
Ignatans, Dainis and Pease, Ken 2018. Crime concentrations: Hot dots, hot spots and hot flushes. in: Oxford University Press.
Preventing repeat and near repeat crime concentrations.
Farrell, Graham and Pease, Ken 2017. Preventing repeat and near repeat crime concentrations. in: Routledge.
Repeat victimisation.
Farrell, Graham and Pease, Ken 2016. Repeat victimisation. in: Routledge.
What have criminologists done for us lately?
Farrell, Graham and Pease, Ken 2014. What have criminologists done for us lately? in: Palgrave Macmillan.
A situational approach to heritage crime prevention.
Grove, Louise and Pease, Ken 2014. A situational approach to heritage crime prevention. in: Palgrave Macmillan.
Preventing crime and evoking altruism.
Pease, Ken 2014. Preventing crime and evoking altruism. in: Springer.
Distributive justice and the crime drop.
Ignatans, Dainis and Pease, Ken 2015. Distributive justice and the crime drop. in: Palgrave Macmillan.
How to morph experience into evidence.
Roach, Jason and Pease, Ken 2017. How to morph experience into evidence. in: Routledge.
Self-selection policing: Theory, research and practice.
Roach, Jason and Pease, Ken 2016. Self-selection policing: Theory, research and practice. Palgrave Macmillan.
Using modeling to predict and prevent victimization.
Pease, Ken and Tseloni, Andromachi 2014. Using modeling to predict and prevent victimization. Springer.
Preventing repeat and near repeat crime concentrations.
Farrell, Graham and Pease, Ken 2017. Preventing repeat and near repeat crime concentrations. in: Routledge.
On whom does the burden of crime fall now? Changes over time in counts and concentration.
Ignatans, Dainis and Pease, Ken 2015. On whom does the burden of crime fall now? Changes over time in counts and concentration. International Review of Victimology. https://doi.org/10.1177/0269758015610854
Area and individual differences in personal crime victimization incidence.
Tseloni, Andromachi and Pease, Ken 2014. Area and individual differences in personal crime victimization incidence. International Review of Victimology. https://doi.org/10.1177/0269758014547991